Siemens Energy: €154 Billion Backlog and €322 Million Buyback Signal Strength, Yet Stock Trades Below Key Support
Veröffentlicht: 30.06.2026 um 06:05 Uhr, Redaktion boerse-global.deThe market is sending mixed signals on Siemens Energy. While the company has racked up a record order book and is aggressively buying back its own shares, the stock itself is struggling to stay above a critical technical level. Shares closed Monday at €160.00, roughly 5% below the 50-day moving average, after a week that saw the price slide nearly 8%.
That weakness stands in stark contrast to the underlying business momentum. Management used a pre-close call on Monday evening to hint at exceptional order intake ahead of the quiet period that begins on July 1. The backlog has swelled to approximately €154 billion, driven by two high-growth divisions: Grid Technologies and Gas Services.
The global build-out of power grids is filling order books across the sector, but an additional tailwind is coming from the artificial intelligence boom. Tech giants are locking in gas turbine capacity to secure reliable electricity for their vast data centers, and Siemens Energy is a direct beneficiary. The result is a record pipeline that gives the group strong revenue visibility.
At the same time, the company is making steady progress on its share repurchase program. In the week from June 22 to June 26 alone, Siemens Energy bought back roughly 539,000 shares. Since the current tranche launched on June 4, it has acquired a total of around 2 million shares at an average price of €157.42, spending about €322 million. That represents just over a third of the second tranche, which authorises up to €1 billion in buybacks and runs until the end of September 2026. The overarching target remains the repurchase of up to €6 billion in shares by the end of fiscal 2028.
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Siemens Energy?
The buyback is underpinned by a sharply improved financial outlook. Siemens Energy raised its free cash flow before tax guidance to roughly €8 billion in the second quarter. For the full fiscal year 2026, the company expects revenue growth of 14% to 16% and an earnings margin before special items of 10% to 12%, with net profit pegged at around €4 billion. Including dividends already paid, capital returns to shareholders could reach €3.6 billion in the current fiscal year.
On the restructuring front, the wind power subsidiary Siemens Gamesa remains the group's problem child but is showing signs of a turnaround. Management has reaffirmed its target of reaching an operational break-even in 2026. After years of losses, a successful recovery would provide a major boost to the overall valuation. The full integration of Gamesa is progressing following the squeeze-out of minority shareholders, eliminating costly duplicate structures. Meanwhile, the board is reviewing strategic options for the “Transformation of Industry” division, with a sale or spin-off under consideration.
Rating agency Moody’s recently upgraded its outlook on Siemens Energy to “positive,” reflecting the stronger fundamentals. At the bourse, the stock is taking a breather after a strong run — year-to-date it is still up by around 30%, and it retains a comfortable cushion above the 200-day moving average. However, the current level of €160.00 is well below the 50-day line of €168.40 and roughly 20% off the 52-week high of €195.54 reached in April.
Siemens Energy at a turning point? This analysis reveals what investors need to know now.
The next major catalyst comes on August 5, when Siemens Energy publishes detailed third-quarter results. By then, the quiet period will have ended, and the market will be looking for hard numbers to back up the optimistic signals from the pre-close call. The company’s ability to convert its record backlog into profit and cash flow — and to close the gap between the share price and its underlying strength — will be the key test.
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